Trust Wallet’s Predictions Now Feature Polymarket’s Events

Key Takeaways:

• Polymarket is the world's largest decentralized prediction market platform where you can trade on real-world event outcomes using cryptocurrency.

• Polymarket events in Trust Wallet are tradeable across: Polygon, Ethereum, BNB Chain, Optimism, Arbitrum, Base, Avalanche, Celo, Blast, Stroll, Zksync, Mantle, Sonic, Plasma.

• Polymarket provides fast transactions with minimal fees and complete transparency.

• Polymarket offers binary outcome shares priced between $0.01 and $1.00, with prices reflecting the market's collective probability assessment of each outcome.

Prediction markets have emerged as powerful tools for forecasting future events, often outperforming traditional polls and expert analysis. Polymarket stands as the world's largest decentralized prediction market platform, processing billions in trading volume and attracting mainstream attention for its accuracy in forecasting major events. The prediction market brings blockchain transparency, creating a space where your knowledge and insights can translate into potential profits while contributing to collective intelligence about future outcomes.

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What is Polymarket?

Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform launched in 2020 by founder Shayne Coplan, then a 21-year-old college dropout from New York University. The Polymarket platform enables you to trade binary outcome shares on real-world events ranging from political elections and economic indicators to sports results, entertainment outcomes, and cryptocurrency market movements.

Polymarket itself operates on Polygon, a Layer-2 scaling solution built on Ethereum, using USDC stablecoins as its primary trading currency. This blockchain foundation provides transparency, security, and efficiency that distinguishes Polymarket from traditional prediction platforms. Every transaction is recorded on-chain, creating an immutable and fully auditable record of all market activity.

In Trust Wallet, Polymarket Predictions trading is:

• Supported using USDC & USDT;

• Multi-chain: Polygon, Ethereum, BNB Chain, Optimism, Arbitrum, Base, Avalanche, Celo, Blast, Stroll, Zksync, Mantle, Sonic, Plasma.

Polymarket gained significant mainstream recognition during the 2024 U.S. presidential election, recording over $3.3 billion in trading volume on that single event. The prediction market platform accurately predicted major outcomes, including Joe Biden's withdrawal from the race weeks before his official announcement and Donald Trump's eventual victory, demonstrating the power of market-based forecasting.

How to Access Polymarket Predictions in Trust Wallet

Connecting to prediction market platforms is simple using Trust Wallet. Here’s how:

• Open the Trust Wallet app.

• Access Predictions via the Trade menu option, and search for a prediction you’d like to trade on.

• Select Yes or No to predict and then choose your amount.

• Select Continue to complete the steps.

• Once done, view and share your position.

Trust Wallet uses MoonPay to connect you to Polymarket markets, making the entire experience native, multi-chain, self-custodial, and gas-efficient.

How Polymarket Works

When you participate in Polymarket, you're purchasing outcome shares that represent the probability of specific events occurring. Each share is priced between $0.01 and $1.00, with the price reflecting the market's collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. If a "Yes" share costs $0.70, the market believes there's a 70% chance that outcome will happen.

Polymarket creates markets around questions with verifiable yes-or-no outcomes. You choose which outcome you believe will occur and purchase shares accordingly. If your prediction proves correct when the market resolves, each share becomes worth $1.00. If you're wrong, your shares become worthless.

You can buy and sell shares at any time before markets close, providing flexibility to lock in profits or cut losses as new information emerges. This continuous trading creates dynamic markets that adjust in real-time, reflecting the latest developments and collective intelligence of all participants.

Polymarket uses decentralized oracles to verify event outcomes and settle markets. In cases where outcomes are ambiguous, Polymarkets Market Integrity Committee makes final determinations, ensuring fair resolution. This automated settlement process removes the need for intermediaries and creates transparent, tamper-proof results.

Inside Trust Wallet, Polymarket markets are surfaced through MoonPay, our event-market routing partner. MoonPay’s decentralized swaps infrastructure, Swaps.xyz, enables a seamless experience for Trust Wallet users to fund positions on outcomes using their existing balances across 200+ supported chains.

Why Trade on Polymarket?

Trading on Polymarket offers several distinct advantages that have attracted hundreds of thousands of users and positioned the platform as the dominant player in decentralized prediction markets. The blockchain foundation represents Polymarket's most significant strength, providing benefits impossible to replicate on traditional platforms.

The decentralized architecture means you maintain complete control over your funds through self-custodial wallets, including Trust Wallet. Polymarket never holds your assets, eliminating central points of failure and counterparty risk. Your private keys remain in your possession, giving you absolute ownership and the ability to withdraw funds at any time.

Polymarket operates with remarkable transparency compared to traditional prediction platforms. Every trade is recorded on the Polygon blockchain, creating a public, immutable record that anyone can verify. This transparency extends to market resolution, where the process follows clear rules verified through blockchain technology.

Key Benefits for Traders

Polymarket charges zero trading fees for buying and selling outcome shares, making it highly cost-effective for active traders. While you'll pay minimal network gas fees for deposits and withdrawals, Polymarket itself takes no cut from your trades. This fee structure stands in stark contrast to traditional betting platforms that often charge substantial commissions.

Polygon's Layer-2 technology provides near-instantaneous transactions with incredibly low gas fees. You can trade small amounts without being penalized by high transaction costs, making Polymarket accessible regardless of your capital size. This efficiency creates a smooth user experience comparable to centralized platforms while maintaining decentralization benefits.

Polymarket requires no KYC procedures, preserving your privacy while participating in markets. You can create an account with just an email address, and Polymarket generates a wallet for you automatically. This anonymity appeals to users who value privacy but want to participate in prediction markets.

With billions in lifetime trading volume and hundreds of thousands of active users, you can typically enter and exit positions efficiently. Major markets attract substantial participation, ensuring tight spreads and reliable execution.

Polymarket secured a $2 billion investment from Intercontinental Exchange (parent company of the New York Stock Exchange) in October 2025, valuing the company at $8 billion. This institutional backing demonstrates growing mainstream acceptance of blockchain-based prediction markets and provides resources for continued platform development.

Polymarket announced plans to launch its native POLY token in the first quarter of 2026, with the top 20% of traders receiving an airdrop. This upcoming token launch creates additional incentives for active platform participation.

Final thoughts on trading Prediction Markets on Polymarket

Polymarket represents the largest and most successful implementation of decentralized prediction markets to date. The combination of blockchain transparency, zero trading fees, and self-custodial architecture creates a compelling alternative to traditional forecasting methods. Polymarket's accuracy in predicting major events has earned mainstream media attention, with outlets like Yahoo Finance and Google Finance now integrating its market data directly.

Important Risk Considerations

Prediction markets carry inherent risks that you must understand before participating. Market prices reflect collective opinion rather than guaranteed outcomes, and large individual trades can sometimes distort pricing. You should only trade amounts you can afford to lose completely, as incorrect predictions cause total loss of capital allocated to those positions.

Polymarket operates in a complex regulatory environment, settling with the CFTC in 2022 and agreeing to block U.S. users from accessing its services. Multiple countries including Switzerland, France, Poland, Singapore, and Belgium have subsequently blocked or restricted access to Polymarket. You must verify that prediction market participation complies with local laws before trading.

Smart contract risks exist whenever interacting with blockchain platforms. While Polymarket uses established technology, vulnerabilities could potentially affect market operations or fund security. The platform's decentralized nature means there's no central authority to reverse transactions if technical issues occur.

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Disclaimer: Content is for informational purposes and not investment advice. Web3 and crypto come with risk. Please do your own research with respect to interacting with any Web3 applications or crypto assets. View our terms of service.

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Note: Any cited numbers, figures, or illustrations are reported at the time of writing, and are subject to change.