World Cup Knockout Market
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In Brief
A World Cup knockout market is a prediction market for the tournament's single-elimination rounds — from the Round of 32 through the Round of 16, quarter-finals, and semi-finals — where each result decides which team advances.
What Is a World Cup Knockout Market?
A World Cup knockout market is a prediction market covering the tournament's single-elimination phase, which follows the group stage. In the knockout rounds, the losing team is eliminated, so each market defines a decisive outcome: which team advances from a given tie or how far a team progresses.
Knockout markets tend to draw intense interest because every match is win-or-go-home, and a single result can dramatically shift the tournament's outlook.
How Does a Knockout Market Work?
Each knockout tie has contracts for outcomes like "team to advance" or "team to reach a given round."
Prices reflect the implied probability of each outcome.
Because matches are single-elimination, results cause sharp, immediate price moves.
When a tie is settled, the relevant contracts resolve to reflect which team progressed.
The 2026 Knockout Rounds
| Round | Stage |
|---|---|
| Round of 32 | First knockout round (new in the expanded format) |
| Round of 16 | Second knockout round |
| Quarter-finals | Final eight |
| Semi-finals | Final four |
| Final | Championship match |
Knockout vs Group Stage Markets
A group stage market involves multiple matches and several simultaneous outcomes per group. A knockout market centers on a single, decisive match per tie — there's no second chance, which makes these markets especially reactive to each result.
A Note on Availability
Access to knockout markets depends on your jurisdiction, as prediction-market availability varies by region. Always confirm what's permitted where you are.
Knockout Markets and Trust Wallet
Trust Wallet lets you explore prediction markets like World Cup knockout markets where available, connecting to platforms such as Polymarket and Hyperliquid (HIP-4). As a non-custodial wallet, your assets stay under your control via your private keys throughout. Availability varies by region — the tools are there, and whether to explore them is your choice.